Millwall vs West Ham prediction

Millwall have won five, drawn three and lost five of their 13 Championship games so far, scoring 23 and letting in 21. That has them 12th on 18 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, one draw and four defeats, at 1.3 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 2-2 with Middlesbrough; before that came a 3-1 defeat away at Blackburn and a 1-0 defeat at home to Newcastle United.

Millwall haven't won in three. They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won one of three recently (4 scored, 4 conceded).

So far in the Championship, West Ham have won six, drawn four and lost three of 13, with 33 goals scored and 18 conceded, good for 8th place and 22 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 3.2 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they lost 3-2 to Fulham at home; before that came a 6-0 win at home to Wrexham and a 3-2 win away at Bolton.

They have scored in each of their last six. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won one of two recently (4 scored, 3 conceded).

Home and away form points to West Ham: Millwall have won one of their last three at home, West Ham one of their last two on the road. Four points separate the two sides in the table. West Ham also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make West Ham favourites at 50%, with Millwall on 25% and the draw at 26%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.9 in the game: 1.3 for Millwall and 1.6 for West Ham. Over 2.5 goals is 56% and both teams scoring 59%. When they last met, on 4 Feb 2012, West Ham United won 2-1.