Suduva Marijampole vs Džiugas Telšiai prediction

Suduva Marijampole have won 14, drawn 11 and lost six of their 31 A Lyga games so far, scoring 41 and letting in 31. That has them 2nd on 53 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, two draws and three defeats, at 0.7 goals scored and 2.7 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Banga 2-1 at home; before that came a 4-0 defeat away at FK Zalgiris Vilnius and a 5-0 defeat away at Jagiellonia.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. They failed to score in three of those games. At home they've won one of two recently (2 scored, 1 conceded).

So far in the A Lyga, Džiugas Telšiai have won 11, drawn nine and lost 11 of 31, with 42 goals scored and 46 conceded, good for 6th place and 42 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, one draw and four defeats, averaging 1.0 goals for and 2.5 against. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Šiauliai away; before that came a 2-1 win at home to Panevėžys and a 3-3 draw at home to TransINVEST Vilnius.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in three of those games. On the road they've won none of four recently (1 scored, 11 conceded).

Home and away form points to Suduva Marijampole: Suduva Marijampole have won one of their last two at home, Džiugas Telšiai none of their last four on the road. 11 points separate the two sides in the table. Džiugas Telšiai also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Suduva Marijampole favourites at 51%, with Džiugas Telšiai on 22% and the draw at 26%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.7 in the game: 1.6 for Suduva Marijampole and 1.1 for Džiugas Telšiai. Over 2.5 goals is 52% and both teams scoring 54%. When they last met, on 17 Aug 2026, Suduva Marijampole won 2-0.