Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart prediction

Hamburger SV have won three, drawn none and lost five of their eight Bundesliga games so far, scoring 7 and letting in 19. That has them 15th on 9 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, no draws and three defeats, at 1.2 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Hoffenheim 3-2 away; before that came a 2-0 win at home to FC Copenhagen and a 2-1 win at home to 1. FC Köln.

Hamburger SV are unbeaten in three. They failed to score in three of those games. At home they've won two of three recently (4 scored, 6 conceded). A. Sambi Lokonga (lacking match fitness), B. Jatta (groin injury) and M. Vuskovic (doping), plus two others, are all unavailable.

So far in the Bundesliga, VfB Stuttgart have won three, drawn none and lost five of eight, with 14 goals scored and 15 conceded, good for 11th place and 9 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, no draws and two defeats, averaging 2.3 goals for and 0.5 against. Last time out they beat Slovan Bratislava 3-0 away; before that came a 2-0 win away at Paderborn and a 5-0 win at home to Greuther Furth.

VfB Stuttgart are unbeaten in four. They have scored in each of their last four. Four clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won two of three recently (6 scored, 2 conceded). A. Al Dakhil (knee injury), D. Zagadou (muscle injury) and J. Diehl (muscle injury), plus three others, are all unavailable.

There isn't much between Hamburger SV's home form and VfB Stuttgart's away form. The two sides are level on points. VfB Stuttgart also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make VfB Stuttgart clear favourites at 61%, with Hamburger SV on 21% and the draw at 18%.

On goals, it expects around 3.4 in the game: 1.2 for Hamburger SV and 2.2 for VfB Stuttgart. Over 2.5 goals is 66% and both teams scoring 62%. When they last met, on 12 Apr 2026, Stuttgart won 4-0.