Atalanta vs Frosinone prediction, 25 October 2026

Atalanta

Sunday, 25 October 2026

44Half time 3 : 2Serie A

Frosinone

Krstovic 14′, 45′
Ederson (P) 33′
Elmas 50′

Schmid 1′, 17′
Calo 48′
Terzic 82′

Match result

Pre-match prediction

Locked at kickoff

55.3%Atalanta

23.3%Draw

21.4%Frosinone

Double chance

Atalanta or draw79%

Either team wins77%

Frosinone or draw45%

1.7Atalanta2.8expected goals1.1Frosinone

Every market

All predictions

Total goals

LineOverUnder

0.595%5%

1.580%20%

2.557%43%

3.535%65%

4.519%81%

Both teams to score

Yes60%No40%

GG2+

No83%Yes17%

Team total goals

OverAtalantaFrosinone

0.583%72%

1.550%35%

2.525%13%

Clean sheet

Atalanta28%Frosinone17%

Win to nil

Atalanta26%Frosinone9%

Odd or even goals

Odd50%Even50%

Winning margin

Draw23%

WinsAtalantaFrosinone

by 126%13%

by 217%6%

by 3+12%3%

Total goal bands

0-1 goals20%2-3 goals45%4-5 goals26%6+ goals9%

Match preview · Serie A

Atalanta vs Frosinone: preview and prediction

25 Oct 2026 · 14:00New Balance ArenaLivio Marinelli

Atalanta welcome Frosinone to New Balance Arena in Bergamo on Sunday 25 October, with kick-off at 14:00. It's matchday 8 in the Serie A. Atalanta go into it 13th in the table after ten games, with Frosinone 6th, 7 places higher. Last time out Atalanta were beaten 2-0 at Ajax, and Frosinone beat Sassuolo 4-2 at home.

The forecast

55%Atalanta23%Draw21%Frosinone

Expected goals1.7-1.1Over 2.5 goals57%Both teams score60%

FormFrosinoneHome and awayAtalantaThe tableFrosinoneGoalsFrosinoneHead to headAtalantaTeam newsFrosinone

Atalanta: form and key numbers

Atalanta have won three, drawn two and lost five of their ten Serie A games so far, scoring 16 and letting in 20. That has them 13th on 11 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, no draws and four defeats, at 1.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 2-0 to Ajax away; before that came a 3-2 defeat away at AC Milan and a 3-1 win at home to Pafos.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won two of three recently (7 scored, 4 conceded). F. Kessie (calf injury), G. Raspadori (thigh injury) and G. Scalvini (thigh injury), plus four others, are all unavailable.

AtalantaLast 6 · 2W 0D 4L

22 OctAAjax0-2L
18 OctAAC Milan2-3L
15 OctHPafos3-1W
12 OctHVenezia3-1W
20 SeptAJuventus0-2L
12 SeptHCagliari1-2L

1.5scored a game1.8conceded a game1.0points a game

At home · last 3WWL

Atalanta: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Frosinone: form and key numbers

So far in the Serie A, Frosinone have won six, drawn two and lost two of ten, with 24 goals scored and 14 conceded, good for 6th place and 20 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 2.0 goals for and 1.5 against. Last time out they beat Sassuolo 4-2 at home; before that came a 3-0 defeat away at Napoli and a 2-1 win at home to Benevento.

On the road they've won none of two recently (1 scored, 4 conceded). F. Grillitsch (thigh injury) misses out.

FrosinoneLast 6 · 4W 1D 1L

16 OctHSassuolo4-2W
10 OctANapoli0-3L
2 OctHBenevento2-1W
20 SeptHComo2-0W
12 SeptAGenoa1-1D
6 SeptHVenezia3-2W

2.0scored a game1.5conceded a game2.2points a game

Away · last 2LD

Frosinone: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Atalanta vs Frosinone: match analysis

Home and away form points to Atalanta: Atalanta have won two of their last three at home, Frosinone none of their last two on the road. Nine points separate the two sides in the table. Frosinone also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

The table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
5	Milan	10	6	3	1	+9	21
6	Frosinone	10	6	2	2	+10	20
7	Juventus	10	5	2	3	+3	17
···
12	Cagliari	10	4	1	5	-6	13
13	Atalanta	10	3	2	5	-4	11
14	Lecce	10	3	0	7	-10	9

We make Atalanta clear favourites at 55%, with Frosinone on 21% and the draw at 23%.

Goals, recent and expected

1.5Scored a game2.0
1.8Conceded a game1.5
1.7Expected here (xG)1.1

Over 1.580%Over 2.557%Over 3.535%Both score60%

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 1.7 for Atalanta and 1.1 for Frosinone. Over 2.5 goals is 57% and both teams scoring 60%. When they last met, on 15 Jan 2024, Atalanta won 5-0.

Last meetings