Birmingham vs Swansea prediction

Birmingham have won seven, drawn five and lost two of their 14 Championship games so far, scoring 26 and letting in 13. That has them 2nd on 26 points.

Their last six in all competitions read five wins, no draws and one defeat, at 2.3 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Millwall 3-0 at home; before that came a 3-1 win away at Lincoln and a 1-0 defeat away at Cardiff.

Four clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won three of three recently (10 scored, 0 conceded).

So far in the Championship, Swansea have won eight, drawn two and lost four of 14, with 21 goals scored and 16 conceded, good for 4th place and 26 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, no draws and three defeats, averaging 1.3 goals for and 1.7 against. Last time out they lost 3-1 to Portsmouth away; before that came a 4-0 win at home to Blackburn and a 5-0 defeat away at Queens Park Rangers.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won one of three recently (2 scored, 8 conceded).

Home and away form points to Birmingham: Birmingham have won three of their last three at home, Swansea one of their last three on the road. The two sides are level on points. Birmingham also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Birmingham favourites at 49%, with Swansea on 24% and the draw at 26%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 1.7 for Birmingham and 1.1 for Swansea. Over 2.5 goals is 52% and both teams scoring 52%. When they last met, on 8 Aug 2026, Birmingham won 1-0.