Gnistan vs VPS prediction

So far in the Veikkausliiga, Gnistan have won 11, drawn ten and lost ten of 31, with 47 goals scored and 46 conceded, good for 5th place and 43 points.

Over the last six matches it has been no wins, two draws and four defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 2.3 against. Last time out they lost 4-3 to Inter Turku away; before that came a 1-1 draw away at KuPS and a 4-3 defeat at home to AC Oulu.

Gnistan haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last five. They failed to score in three of those games. At home they've won none of two recently (3 scored, 4 conceded).

VPS have won 11, drawn seven and lost 13 of their 31 Veikkausliiga games so far, scoring 31 and letting in 38. That has them 6th on 40 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, one draw and four defeats, at 0.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 4-0 to HJK at home; before that came a goalless draw away at AC Oulu and a 1-0 defeat at home to Inter Turku.

VPS haven't won in four. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank five times. On the road they've won none of three recently (0 scored, 8 conceded).

There isn't much between Gnistan's home form and VPS's away form. Three points separate the two sides in the table. Gnistan also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Gnistan favourites at 46%, with VPS on 29% and the draw at 24%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 3.0 in the game: 1.7 for Gnistan and 1.3 for VPS. Over 2.5 goals is 59% and both teams scoring 56%. When they last met, on 12 Oct 2026, VPS won 1-0.