Chemal vs AC Douane prediction

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, three draws and one defeat, averaging 1.0 goals for and 0.5 against. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by SNIM; before that came a 1-1 draw at home to Gendrim and a goalless draw at home to Police.

Chemal are unbeaten in four. Four clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won two of four recently (5 scored, 1 conceded).

Their last five in all competitions read two wins, one draw and two defeats, at 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Nouadhibou at home; before that came a 4-2 win away at Nouakchott King's and a 2-1 defeat at home to Gendrim.

They have scored in each of their last five. On the road they've won two of two recently (5 scored, 2 conceded).

Home and away form points to AC Douane: Chemal have won two of their last four at home, AC Douane two of their last two on the road.

We make Chemal favourites at 49%, with AC Douane on 23% and the draw at 28%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Chemal still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.6 in the game: 1.6 for Chemal and 1.1 for AC Douane. Over 2.5 goals is 48% and both teams scoring 51%.