Mingəçevir vs Şimal prediction, 15 October 2026

Mingəçevir

Thursday, 15 October 2026

14Half time 0 : 2Birinci Dasta

Şimal

Osmanov 37′

Match result

Pre-match prediction

Locked at kickoff

19.0%Mingəçevir

21.4%Draw

59.6%Şimal

Double chance

Mingəçevir or draw40%

Either team wins79%

Şimal or draw81%

1.5Mingəçevir2.6expected goals1.2Şimal

Every market

All predictions

Total goals

LineOverUnder

0.593%7%

1.574%26%

2.549%51%

3.527%73%

4.513%87%

Both teams to score

Yes53%No47%

GG2+

No86%Yes14%

Team total goals

OverMingəçevirŞimal

0.577%69%

1.543%33%

2.518%12%

Clean sheet

Mingəçevir31%Şimal23%

Win to nil

Mingəçevir24%Şimal16%

Odd or even goals

Odd50%Even50%

Winning margin

Draw26%

WinsMingəçevirŞimal

by 122%18%

by 213%8%

by 3+8%4%

Total goal bands

0-1 goals26%2-3 goals47%4-5 goals22%6+ goals5%

Match preview · Birinci Dasta

Mingəçevir vs Şimal: preview and prediction

15 Oct 2026 · 11:00

Mingəçevir take on Şimal on Thursday 15 October (11:00). It's matchday 5 in the Birinci Dasta. Mingəçevir go into it 8th in the table after six games, with Şimal 6th. Last time out Mingəçevir were beaten 3-0 at MOIK, and Şimal drew 1-1 at home with Xankəndi FK.

The forecast

19%Mingəçevir21%Draw60%Şimal

Expected goals1.5-1.2Over 2.5 goals49%Both teams score53%

FormŞimalThe tableŞimalGoalsŞimal

Mingəçevir: form and key numbers

So far in the Birinci Dasta, Mingəçevir have won one, drawn one and lost four of six, with 5 goals scored and 14 conceded, good for 8th place and 4 points.

Over the last four matches it has been no wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 0.8 goals for and 2.5 against. Last time out they lost 3-0 to MOIK away; before that came a 3-0 defeat at home to Cəbrayıl and a 2-1 defeat away at Səbail.

Mingəçevir haven't won in four. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won none of two recently (2 scored, 5 conceded).

MingəçevirLast 4 · 0W 1D 3L

9 OctAMOIK0-3L
17 SeptHCəbrayıl0-3L
10 SeptASəbail1-2L
4 SeptHZaqatala2-2D

0.8scored a game2.5conceded a game0.3points a game

At home · last 2LD

Mingəçevir: last 4 results in all competitions, newest first.

Şimal: form and key numbers

Şimal have won two, drawn two and lost two of their six Birinci Dasta games so far, scoring 13 and letting in 11. That has them 6th on 8 points.

Their last six in all competitions read no wins, four draws and two defeats, at 0.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Xankəndi FK; before that came a 4-1 defeat at home to Şahdağ and a 1-1 draw away at MOIK.

Şimal haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last five.

ŞimalLast 6 · 0W 4D 2L

9 OctHXankəndi FK1-1D
17 SeptHŞahdağ1-4L
11 SeptAMOIK1-1D
4 SeptHCəbrayıl1-2L
6 MayHMOIK1-1D
19 MarHZaqatala0-0D

0.8scored a game1.5conceded a game0.7points a game

Şimal: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Mingəçevir vs Şimal: match analysis

Four points separate the two sides in the table. Şimal also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

The table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
5	Karvan	6	3	1	2	+3	10
6	Şimal	6	2	2	2	+2	8
7	Xankəndi FK	6	1	2	3	-3	5
8	Mingəçevir	6	1	1	4	-9	4
9	Zaqatala	6	1	1	4	-15	4

We make Şimal clear favourites at 60%, with Mingəçevir on 19% and the draw at 21%.

Goals, recent and expected

0.8Scored a game0.8
2.5Conceded a game1.5
1.5Expected here (xG)1.2

Over 1.574%Over 2.549%Over 3.527%Both score53%

On goals, it expects around 2.6 in the game: 1.5 for Mingəçevir and 1.2 for Şimal. Over 2.5 goals is 49% and both teams scoring 53%.

Punt-X prediction

Şimal to win60%

Backed by form, the table and goal difference.

Every market at a glance

ResultŞimal win60%
Double chanceŞimal or draw81%
GoalsUnder 2.551%
Both teams to scoreYes53%
Clean sheetMingəçevir31%
CornersMingəçevir 5.5 · Şimal 4.610.1 expected
Cards4.3 yellows expectedRed 15%

Frequently asked questions

Mingəçevir vs Şimal

Mingəçevir vs Şimal prediction