Brackley Town vs Chester prediction

Brackley Town have won five, drawn four and lost six of their 15 National League - North games so far, scoring 18 and letting in 26. That has them 16th on 19 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, one draw and three defeats, at 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Worksop Town 1-0 away; before that came a 2-2 draw away at Spalding United and a 1-0 defeat at home to Radcliffe.

They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won one of three recently (2 scored, 4 conceded).

So far in the National League - North, Chester have won seven, drawn two and lost five of 14, with 17 goals scored and 14 conceded, good for 9th place and 23 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, no draws and four defeats, averaging 0.8 goals for and 1.7 against. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Hednesford Town at home; before that came a 2-1 win at home to Marine and a 3-1 defeat away at South Shields.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. They failed to score in two of those games. On the road they've won none of three recently (2 scored, 8 conceded).

Home and away form points to Brackley Town: Brackley Town have won one of their last three at home, Chester none of their last three on the road. Four points separate the two sides in the table. Brackley Town also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Chester favourites at 50%, with Brackley Town on 27% and the draw at 23%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.9 in the game: 1.2 for Brackley Town and 1.7 for Chester. Over 2.5 goals is 53% and both teams scoring 54%. When they last met, on 14 Dec 2024, Brackley Town won 2-1.