Derby vs Birmingham prediction
Derby
Saturday, 12 September 2026
1:2Half time 1 : 1Championship
Birmingham
Pre-match prediction
All predictions
Total goals
Both teams to score
Team total goals
Clean sheet
Win to nil
Odd or even goals
Winning margin
Total goal bands
Derby vs Birmingham: preview and prediction
Derby welcome Birmingham to Pride Park in Derby on Saturday 12 September, with kick-off at 12:30. Derby go into it 23rd in the table after 13 games, with Birmingham 6th, 17 places higher. Last time out Derby lost 1-0 at home to West Bromwich Albion, and Birmingham were beaten 2-1 at Norwich.
Derby: form and key numbers
Derby have won one, drawn four and lost eight of their 13 Championship games so far, scoring 11 and letting in 25. That has them 23rd on 7 points.
Their last six in all competitions read one win, one draw and four defeats, at 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 1-0 to West Bromwich Albion at home; before that came a 3-0 defeat away at West Ham United and a 2-0 win away at Portsmouth.
They failed to score in three of those games. At home they've won none of three recently (2 scored, 6 conceded).
- HWest Bromwich Albion0-1L
- AWest Ham United0-3L
- APortsmouth2-0W
- HSwansea0-3L
- HCardiff2-2D
- ACharlton1-2L
Derby: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.
Birmingham: form and key numbers
So far in the Championship, Birmingham have won six, drawn five and lost two of 13, with 23 goals scored and 13 conceded, good for 6th place and 23 points.
Over the last six matches it has been one win, three draws and two defeats, averaging 1.5 goals for and 2.3 against. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Norwich away; before that came a 2-2 draw at home to Wolverhampton Wanderers and a 1-1 draw at home to Southampton.
Birmingham haven't won in three. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. On the road they've won one of two recently (3 scored, 3 conceded).
- ANorwich1-2L
- HWolverhampton Wanderers2-2D
- HSouthampton1-1D
- AWrexham2-1W
- HBrentford1-6L
- HBristol City2-2D
Birmingham: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.
Derby vs Birmingham: match analysis
Home and away form points to Birmingham: Derby have won none of their last three at home, Birmingham one of their last two on the road. 16 points separate the two sides in the table.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Southampton | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +15 | 23 |
| 6 | Birmingham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +10 | 23 |
| 7 | Stoke City | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 23 |
| ··· | |||||||
| 22 | Burnley | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 23 | Derby | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -14 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | -17 | 5 |
We make Derby favourites at 37%, with Birmingham on 35% and the draw at 28%. In truth there's very little in it.
- 0.81.5
- 1.82.3
- 1.31.3
On goals, it expects around 2.6 in the game: 1.3 for Derby and 1.3 for Birmingham. Over 2.5 goals is 48% and both teams scoring 53%. When they last met, on 21 Mar 2026, Derby won 1-0.
- Derby1-0Birmingham
- Birmingham1-1Derby
- Derby2-2Birmingham
- Birmingham2-0Derby
- Derby1-2Birmingham
Both teams scored in two of Derby's last six and six of Birmingham's last six.
Every market at a glance
- ResultDerby win37%
- Double chanceEither team wins72%
- GoalsUnder 2.552%
- Both teams to scoreYes53%
- Clean sheetBirmingham28%
- CornersDerby 5.1 · Birmingham 5.310.4 expected
- Cards5.2 yellows expectedRed 12%
Frequently asked questions
Derby vs Birmingham