Hatayspor vs Somaspor prediction

Hatayspor have won one, drawn one and lost seven of their nine 2. Lig games so far, scoring 4 and letting in 17. That has them 17th on -2 points.

Their last six in all competitions read no wins, no draws and six defeats, at 0.5 goals scored and 2.7 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 3-0 to Menemen FK away; before that came a 3-0 defeat at home to Erbaaspor and a 4-2 defeat away at Şanlıurfaspor.

Hatayspor haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in four of those games. At home they've won none of three recently (1 scored, 8 conceded).

So far in the 2. Lig, Somaspor have won two, drawn two and lost five of nine, with 10 goals scored and 18 conceded, good for 14th place and 8 points.

Over the last six matches it has been no wins, two draws and four defeats, averaging 0.3 goals for and 1.8 against. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Sebat Gençlikspor; before that came a 2-0 defeat at home to Çorluspor 1947 and a goalless draw away at Fatih Karagümrük.

Somaspor haven't won in six. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank four times. On the road they've won none of three recently (1 scored, 7 conceded).

There isn't much between Hatayspor's home form and Somaspor's away form. Ten points separate the two sides in the table. Somaspor also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Hatayspor favourites at 42%, with Somaspor on 33% and the draw at 26%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Hatayspor still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 1.4 for Hatayspor and 1.5 for Somaspor. Over 2.5 goals is 52% and both teams scoring 54%.