Celta vs Juventus prediction

So far in the UEFA Europa League, Celta have won one, drawn none and lost two of three, with 3 goals scored and 4 conceded, good for 25th place and 3 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, two draws and two defeats, averaging 2.0 goals for and 1.2 against. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Elche; before that came a 4-1 win at home to Sociedad B and a 3-2 defeat away at Sp Gijon.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won two of three recently (10 scored, 2 conceded). B. Iglesias (muscle injury), C. Starfelt (injury) and J. El Abdellaoui (knee injury), plus two others, are all unavailable.

Juventus have won two, drawn one and lost none of their three UEFA Europa League games so far, scoring 9 and letting in 3. That has them 7th on 7 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, two draws and two defeats, at 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Cagliari; before that came a 1-0 defeat at home to Cremonese and a 2-0 win at home to Atalanta.

Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won none of two recently (3 scored, 4 conceded). A. Durmisi (red card), A. Milik (inactive) and D. Rugani (off the roster), plus seven others, are all unavailable.

Home and away form points to Celta: Celta have won two of their last three at home, Juventus none of their last two on the road. Four points separate the two sides in the table.

We make Juventus favourites at 50%, with Celta on 23% and the draw at 27%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 3.2 in the game: 0.8 for Celta and 2.4 for Juventus. Over 2.5 goals is 62% and both teams scoring 49%.