Barrow vs Gloucester City prediction

Over the last six matches it has been five wins, no draws and one defeat, averaging 2.0 goals for and 0.8 against. Last time out they beat Tamworth 2-1 away; before that came a 2-1 win at home to Wealdstone and a 3-0 win at home to Scunthorpe.

Barrow are unbeaten in five. They have scored in each of their last five. Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won three of three recently (6 scored, 1 conceded).

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, one draw and one defeat, at 2.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Hanworth Villa 3-1 away; before that came a 2-1 win away at Mulbarton Wanderers and a 2-1 win away at Chichester City.

Gloucester City are unbeaten in five. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. On the road they've won three of four recently (9 scored, 8 conceded).

Home and away form points to Barrow: Barrow have won three of their last three at home, Gloucester City three of their last four on the road.

We make Gloucester City favourites at 51%, with Barrow on 30% and the draw at 19%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Gloucester City still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 3.0 in the game: 1.2 for Barrow and 1.8 for Gloucester City. Over 2.5 goals is 57% and both teams scoring 58%.