Napoli vs Frosinone prediction

Napoli have won four, drawn two and lost four of their ten Serie A games so far, scoring 17 and letting in 13. That has them 8th on 14 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, one draw and three defeats, at 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Fiorentina; before that came a 1-0 win at home to Bologna and a 1-0 defeat at home to Arsenal.

Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won one of three recently (2 scored, 3 conceded).

So far in the Serie A, Frosinone have won six, drawn two and lost two of ten, with 24 goals scored and 14 conceded, good for 6th place and 20 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 1.8 goals for and 0.8 against. Last time out they beat Benevento 2-1 at home; before that came a 2-0 win at home to Como and a 1-1 draw away at Genoa.

Frosinone are unbeaten in five. They have scored in each of their last five. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won one of two recently (4 scored, 1 conceded).

Home and away form points to Frosinone: Napoli have won one of their last three at home, Frosinone one of their last two on the road. Six points separate the two sides in the table. Frosinone also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Napoli clear favourites at 59%, with Frosinone on 18% and the draw at 23%.

On goals, it expects around 3.0 in the game: 1.9 for Napoli and 1.1 for Frosinone. Over 2.5 goals is 57% and both teams scoring 56%. Their last meeting, on 14 Apr 2024, finished 2-2.