Elversberg vs Augsburg prediction

Elversberg have won four, drawn one and lost three of their eight Bundesliga games so far, scoring 16 and letting in 16. That has them 7th on 13 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, one draw and two defeats, at 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Union Berlin away; before that came a goalless draw away at Schalke 04 and a 2-1 defeat at home to Bayern Munich.

Elversberg haven't won in three. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won two of three recently (7 scored, 4 conceded). C. Campbell (ankle injury), F. Onyeka (foot injury) and J. Gyamerah (groin injury), plus one other, are all unavailable.

So far in the Bundesliga, Augsburg have won two, drawn three and lost three of eight, with 18 goals scored and 15 conceded, good for 10th place and 9 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, three draws and one defeat, averaging 2.5 goals for and 1.7 against. Last time out they drew 2-2 with Bayern Munich; before that came a 2-2 draw at home to Hertha and a 3-2 defeat away at Werder Bremen.

Augsburg haven't won in four. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last five. On the road they've won one of two recently (6 scored, 4 conceded). A. Claude-Maurice (muscle injury), N. Banks (knee injury) and S. Mounie (injury), plus one other, are all unavailable.

Home and away form points to Elversberg: Elversberg have won two of their last three at home, Augsburg one of their last two on the road. Four points separate the two sides in the table.

We make Augsburg favourites at 40%, with Elversberg on 38% and the draw at 22%. In truth there's very little in it.

On goals, it expects around 3.4 in the game: 1.6 for Elversberg and 1.8 for Augsburg. Over 2.5 goals is 65% and both teams scoring 66%.