Joinville vs Hercílio Luz prediction

So far in the Copa Santa Catarina, Joinville have won five, drawn none and lost three of eight, with 16 goals scored and 9 conceded, good for 3rd place and 15 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, no draws and two defeats, averaging 2.2 goals for and 0.8 against. Last time out they beat Metropolitano 3-0 at home; before that came a 1-0 defeat away at Figueirense and a 3-0 win away at Santa Catarina.

Three clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won two of three recently (6 scored, 4 conceded).

Hercílio Luz have won five, drawn one and lost two of their eight Copa Santa Catarina games so far, scoring 16 and letting in 11. That has them 2nd on 16 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, one draw and two defeats, at 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Santa Catarina 3-2 away; before that came a goalless draw at home to Blumenau and a 2-0 win at home to Barra.

Hercílio Luz are unbeaten in three. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won one of three recently (5 scored, 7 conceded).

Home and away form points to Joinville: Joinville have won two of their last three at home, Hercílio Luz one of their last three on the road. One point separates the two sides in the table. Joinville also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Joinville favourites at 40%, with Hercílio Luz on 35% and the draw at 25%. In truth there's very little in it.

On goals, it expects around 3.2 in the game: 1.7 for Joinville and 1.5 for Hercílio Luz. Over 2.5 goals is 59% and both teams scoring 59%. When they last met, on 12 Sept 2026, Hercílio Luz won 3-1.