RC Lens vs Paris prediction

So far in the Ligue 1, RC Lens have won four, drawn one and lost four of nine, with 16 goals scored and 13 conceded, good for 9th place and 13 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 1.3 goals for and 1.8 against. Last time out they lost 3-0 to Club Brugge away; before that came a 3-1 win away at Troyes and a 2-0 defeat at home to Sp Lisbon.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won one of two recently (2 scored, 3 conceded). A. Sima (muscle injury), I. Ganiou (knee injury) and J. Gradit (muscle injury), plus two others, are all unavailable.

Paris have won five, drawn two and lost two of their nine Ligue 1 games so far, scoring 16 and letting in 10. That has them 4th on 17 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, one draw and one defeat, at 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Rennes 4-3 at home; before that came a 1-0 defeat away at Lorient and a 2-1 win at home to Strasbourg.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won one of two recently (3 scored, 3 conceded). J. Ikone (thigh injury) and N. Sangui (muscle injury) both miss out.

There isn't much between RC Lens's home form and Paris's away form. Four points separate the two sides in the table. Paris also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make RC Lens favourites at 51%, with Paris on 27% and the draw at 22%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 3.1 in the game: 2.0 for RC Lens and 1.1 for Paris. Over 2.5 goals is 62% and both teams scoring 61%. When they last met, on 14 Feb 2026, Lens won 5-0.