Santos vs Flamengo prediction

Santos have won 12, drawn 11 and lost 11 of their 34 Serie A games so far, scoring 50 and letting in 49. That has them 9th on 47 points.

Their last six in all competitions read five wins, no draws and one defeat, at 2.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Sao Paulo 2-1 away; before that came a 2-1 win away at Remo and a 4-2 defeat away at Atletico-MG.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. At home they've won two of two recently (4 scored, 1 conceded).

So far in the Serie A, Flamengo have won 22, drawn seven and lost four of 33, with 68 goals scored and 28 conceded, good for 1st place and 73 points.

Over the last six matches it has been five wins, one draw and no defeats, averaging 1.8 goals for and 0.5 against. Last time out they beat Bragantino 2-1 at home; before that came a 1-1 draw at home to Independiente del Valle and a 2-1 win at home to Corinthians.

Flamengo are unbeaten in six. They have scored in each of their last six. Three clean sheets in that spell.

26 points separate the two sides in the table. Flamengo also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Flamengo favourites at 51%, with Santos on 22% and the draw at 27%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 1.2 for Santos and 1.6 for Flamengo. Over 2.5 goals is 53% and both teams scoring 55%. When they last met, on 5 Apr 2026, Flamengo RJ won 3-1.