Vitória vs Marítimo prediction

Vitória have won two, drawn three and lost five of their ten Primeira Liga games so far, scoring 10 and letting in 10. That has them 13th on 9 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, two draws and three defeats, at 0.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Recreativa de Lamelas 1-0 away; before that came a 2-0 defeat away at Benfica and a 1-1 draw at home to Moreirense.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. At home they've won none of two recently (1 scored, 1 conceded).

So far in the Primeira Liga, Marítimo have won two, drawn two and lost six of ten, with 9 goals scored and 21 conceded, good for 14th place and 8 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, one draw and four defeats, averaging 1.0 goals for and 2.0 against. Last time out they beat Alcochetense 2-1 away; before that came a 2-1 defeat at home to Porto and a 1-1 draw away at Gil Vicente.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. On the road they've won one of four recently (5 scored, 7 conceded).

There isn't much between Vitória's home form and Marítimo's away form. One point separates the two sides in the table. Vitória also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Vitória clear favourites at 58%, with Marítimo on 19% and the draw at 23%.

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 1.7 for Vitória and 1.1 for Marítimo. Over 2.5 goals is 52% and both teams scoring 51%. When they last met, on 29 Apr 2023, Guimaraes won 2-1.