Stjarnan vs Valur Reykjavik prediction

Stjarnan have won ten, drawn four and lost 13 of their 27 Úrvalsdeild games so far, scoring 53 and letting in 61. That has them 1st on 34 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, one draw and three defeats, at 1.5 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 3-1 to Thor Akureyri away; before that came a 3-0 defeat at home to KA Akureyri and a 5-2 defeat away at FH hafnarfjordur.

Stjarnan haven't won in three. Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won one of three recently (4 scored, 5 conceded).

So far in the Úrvalsdeild, Valur Reykjavik have won ten, drawn four and lost 13 of 27, with 51 goals scored and 59 conceded, good for 2nd place and 34 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, two draws and one defeat, averaging 2.7 goals for and 1.8 against. Last time out they beat KA Akureyri 4-1 at home; before that came a 5-3 defeat at home to FH hafnarfjordur and a 1-1 draw away at IBV Vestmannaeyjar.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. On the road they've won one of two recently (3 scored, 2 conceded).

Home and away form points to Valur Reykjavik: Stjarnan have won one of their last three at home, Valur Reykjavik one of their last two on the road. The two sides are level on points. Valur Reykjavik also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Stjarnan favourites at 51%, with Valur Reykjavik on 32% and the draw at 17%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Stjarnan still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 3.8 in the game: 2.2 for Stjarnan and 1.7 for Valur Reykjavik. Over 2.5 goals is 66% and both teams scoring 59%. When they last met, on 3 Aug 2026, Stjarnan won 3-2.