Saluzzo vs Gozzano prediction

So far in the Serie D - Girone A, Saluzzo have won two, drawn six and lost two of ten, with 10 goals scored and 10 conceded, good for 10th place and 12 points.

Over the last six matches it has been no wins, three draws and three defeats, averaging 0.7 goals for and 1.5 against. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Sestri Levante; before that came a 3-0 defeat at home to Chisola and a 1-1 draw away at Bra.

Saluzzo haven't won in six. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. At home they've won none of two recently (0 scored, 3 conceded).

Gozzano have won three, drawn three and lost four of their ten Serie D - Girone A games so far, scoring 9 and letting in 15. That has them 13th on 12 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, one draw and three defeats, at 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 3-2 to Chisola at home; before that came a 4-0 defeat at home to Ligorna and a 4-1 defeat away at Biellese.

Gozzano haven't won in three. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won one of two recently (3 scored, 4 conceded).

Home and away form points to Gozzano: Saluzzo have won none of their last two at home, Gozzano one of their last two on the road. The two sides are level on points.

We make Saluzzo favourites at 44%, with Gozzano on 27% and the draw at 28%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Saluzzo still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 1.6 for Saluzzo and 1.1 for Gozzano. Over 2.5 goals is 51% and both teams scoring 52%.