Galatasaray vs Barcelona prediction

Galatasaray have won one, drawn none and lost two of their three UEFA Champions League games so far, scoring 6 and letting in 9. That has them 23rd on 3 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, one draw and two defeats, at 1.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Kasimpasa 3-1 at home; before that came a 3-3 draw away at Pendikspor and a 4-0 defeat away at Trabzonspor.

At home they've won two of two recently (4 scored, 1 conceded). A. Guner, A. Unyay and A. Yilmaz, plus four others, are all unavailable.

So far in the UEFA Champions League, Barcelona have won two, drawn none and lost one of three, with 11 goals scored and 6 conceded, good for 8th place and 6 points.

Over the last six matches it has been six wins, no draws and no defeats, averaging 4.5 goals for and 1.0 against. Last time out they beat Getafe 3-0 at home; before that came a 3-1 win away at Sevilla and a 7-2 win at home to Santander.

Barcelona are unbeaten in six. They have scored in each of their last six. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won three of three recently (12 scored, 3 conceded). A. Christensen, F. de Jong and Raphinha, plus one other, are all unavailable.

There isn't much between Galatasaray's home form and Barcelona's away form. Three points separate the two sides in the table. Barcelona also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Barcelona clear favourites at 70%, with Galatasaray on 12% and the draw at 18%.

On goals, it expects around 3.4 in the game: 1.1 for Galatasaray and 2.3 for Barcelona. Over 2.5 goals is 66% and both teams scoring 60%.