Cardiff vs Charlton prediction

So far in the Championship, Cardiff have won three, drawn five and lost five of 13, with 19 goals scored and 20 conceded, good for 17th place and 14 points.

Over the last six matches it has been no wins, two draws and four defeats, averaging 0.8 goals for and 1.7 against. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Bolton away; before that came a 1-1 draw at home to Stoke and a 2-0 defeat away at Portsmouth.

Cardiff haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won none of three recently (4 scored, 5 conceded).

Charlton have won three, drawn five and lost five of their 13 Championship games so far, scoring 11 and letting in 21. That has them 20th on 14 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, three draws and two defeats, at 0.5 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Portsmouth; before that came a goalless draw at home to Queens Park Rangers and a 4-0 defeat away at Stoke.

Charlton haven't won in four. Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. On the road they've won none of three recently (2 scored, 10 conceded).

There isn't much between Cardiff's home form and Charlton's away form. The two sides are level on points.

We make Cardiff clear favourites at 57%, with Charlton on 20% and the draw at 23%. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Cardiff still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.7 in the game: 1.7 for Cardiff and 1.0 for Charlton. Over 2.5 goals is 50% and both teams scoring 51%. Their last meeting, on 30 Jun 2020, finished 0-0.