Velež vs Čelik prediction

So far in the Premijer Liga, Velež have won three, drawn two and lost six of 11, with 9 goals scored and 17 conceded, good for 8th place and 11 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 0.8 goals for and 1.2 against. Last time out they beat Sloga Doboj 1-0 away; before that came a 2-1 defeat away at Zvijezda Gradačac and a 3-2 defeat at home to BSK Banja Luka.

Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won one of three recently (3 scored, 3 conceded).

Čelik have won two, drawn four and lost six of their 12 Premijer Liga games so far, scoring 13 and letting in 19. That has them 9th on 10 points.

Their last six in all competitions read no wins, four draws and two defeats, at 0.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 4-2 to Borac Banja Luka at home; before that came a 1-1 draw away at Proleter Dvorovi and a goalless draw away at Siroki Brijeg.

Čelik haven't won in six. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. On the road they've won none of three recently (2 scored, 2 conceded).

There isn't much between Velež's home form and Čelik's away form. One point separates the two sides in the table. Velež also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Velež favourites at 42%, with Čelik on 29% and the draw at 29%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.4 in the game: 1.4 for Velež and 1.0 for Čelik. Over 2.5 goals is 43% and both teams scoring 48%. When they last met, on 28 Aug 2026, Čelik won 3-0.