Cardiff vs Birmingham prediction, 24 October 2026

Cardiff

Saturday, 24 October 2026

10Half time 1 : 0Championship

Birmingham

Salech 32′

Match result

Pre-match prediction

Locked at kickoff

37.0%Cardiff

27.7%Draw

35.3%Birmingham

Double chance

Cardiff or draw65%

Either team wins72%

Birmingham or draw63%

1.5Cardiff2.8expected goals1.3Birmingham

Every market

All predictions

Total goals

LineOverUnder

0.595%5%

1.578%22%

2.556%44%

3.534%66%

4.519%81%

Both teams to score

Yes59%No41%

GG2+

No82%Yes18%

Team total goals

OverCardiffBirmingham

0.578%75%

1.545%40%

2.521%17%

Clean sheet

Cardiff25%Birmingham22%

Win to nil

Cardiff19%Birmingham17%

Odd or even goals

Odd50%Even50%

Winning margin

Draw28%

WinsCardiffBirmingham

by 119%19%

by 210%9%

by 3+8%7%

Total goal bands

0-1 goals22%2-3 goals44%4-5 goals25%6+ goals9%

Match preview · Championship

Cardiff vs Birmingham: preview and prediction

24 Oct 2026 · 15:00Cardiff City StadiumTim Robinson

Cardiff welcome Birmingham to Cardiff City Stadium on Saturday 24 October, with kick-off at 15:00. It's matchday 12 in the Championship. Cardiff go into it 17th in the table after 13 games, with Birmingham 6th, 11 places higher. Last time out Cardiff drew 2-2 at Middlesbrough, and Birmingham beat Queens Park Rangers 3-0 at home. Cardiff haven't lost any of their last three at home.

The forecast

37%Cardiff28%Draw35%Birmingham

Expected goals1.5-1.3Over 2.5 goals56%Both teams score59%

FormBirminghamHome and awayEvenThe tableBirminghamGoalsBirminghamHead to headCardiffTeam newsBirmingham

Cardiff: form and key numbers

Cardiff have won three, drawn five and lost five of their 13 Championship games so far, scoring 19 and letting in 20. That has them 17th on 14 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, two draws and two defeats, at 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 2-2 with Middlesbrough; before that came a 5-1 win at home to Watford and a 2-1 defeat away at Blackburn.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. At home they've won two of three recently (9 scored, 3 conceded). C. Chambers (knee injury), D. Lawlor (hamstring injury) and G. Osho (red card), plus three others, are all unavailable.

CardiffLast 6 · 2W 2D 2L

17 OctAMiddlesbrough2-2D
13 OctHWatford5-1W
10 OctABlackburn1-2L
19 SeptHCharlton3-1W
12 SeptABolton0-1L
8 SeptHStoke1-1D

2.0scored a game1.3conceded a game1.3points a game

At home · last 3WWD

Cardiff: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Birmingham: form and key numbers

So far in the Championship, Birmingham have won six, drawn five and lost two of 13, with 23 goals scored and 13 conceded, good for 6th place and 23 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 2.2 goals for and 0.8 against. Last time out they beat Queens Park Rangers 3-0 at home; before that came a 4-0 win at home to Preston and a 1-0 win away at West Bromwich Albion.

Birmingham are unbeaten in five. They have scored in each of their last six. Three clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won two of three recently (4 scored, 3 conceded). M. Leonard (achilles tendon injury) and Paik Seung-Ho (health problems) both miss out.

BirminghamLast 6 · 4W 1D 1L

17 OctHQueens Park Rangers3-0W
13 OctHPreston4-0W
10 OctAWest Bromwich Albion1-0W
19 SeptHMiddlesbrough2-2D
12 SeptADerby2-1W
9 SeptANorwich1-2L

2.2scored a game0.8conceded a game2.2points a game

Away · last 3WWL

Birmingham: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Cardiff vs Birmingham: match analysis

There isn't much between Cardiff's home form and Birmingham's away form. Nine points separate the two sides in the table. Birmingham also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

The table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
5	Southampton	13	8	3	2	+15	23
6	Birmingham	13	6	5	2	+10	23
7	Stoke	13	7	2	4	+4	23
···
16	Lincoln City	13	4	3	6	-9	15
17	Cardiff	13	3	5	5	-1	14
18	Wrexham	13	3	5	5	-4	14

We make Cardiff favourites at 37%, with Birmingham on 35% and the draw at 28%. In truth there's very little in it.

Goals, recent and expected

2.0Scored a game2.2
1.3Conceded a game0.8
1.5Expected here (xG)1.3

Over 1.578%Over 2.556%Over 3.534%Both score59%

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 1.5 for Cardiff and 1.3 for Birmingham. Over 2.5 goals is 56% and both teams scoring 59%. When they last met, on 10 Apr 2024, Cardiff won 1-0.

Last meetings