Riga Mariners vs Leevon / PPK prediction

Riga Mariners have won 17, drawn five and lost three of their 25 1. Liga games so far, scoring 63 and letting in 32. That has them 3rd on 56 points.

Their last six in all competitions read five wins, no draws and one defeat, at 3.7 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Last time out they beat JDFS Alberts 3-1 at home; before that came a 6-1 win away at Mārupe and a 4-3 win at home to Skanste.

Riga Mariners are unbeaten in three. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last five. At home they've won three of three recently (12 scored, 4 conceded).

So far in the 1. Liga, Leevon / PPK have won 16, drawn six and lost three of 25, with 49 goals scored and 29 conceded, good for 4th place and 54 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, three draws and one defeat, averaging 2.2 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Valmiera / BSS; before that came a 2-0 defeat away at Metta / LU and a 2-2 draw at home to JDFS Alberts.

Leevon / PPK haven't won in three. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won one of three recently (5 scored, 3 conceded).

Home and away form points to Riga Mariners: Riga Mariners have won three of their last three at home, Leevon / PPK one of their last three on the road. Two points separate the two sides in the table. Riga Mariners also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Riga Mariners favourites at 45%, with Leevon / PPK on 32% and the draw at 23%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 3.6 in the game: 2.0 for Riga Mariners and 1.6 for Leevon / PPK. Over 2.5 goals is 65% and both teams scoring 61%.