Paredes vs Famalicão prediction, 18 October 2026

Paredes

Sunday, 18 October 2026

10Half time 1 : 0Taça de Portugal

Famalicão

Miguel 40′

Match result

Pre-match prediction

Locked at kickoff

17.3%Paredes

17.7%Draw

65.0%Famalicão

Double chance

Paredes or draw35%

Either team wins82%

Famalicão or draw83%

1.9Paredes3.1expected goals1.2Famalicão

Every market

All predictions

Total goals

LineOverUnder

0.596%4%

1.584%16%

2.563%37%

3.542%58%

4.525%75%

Both teams to score

Yes64%No36%

GG2+

No79%Yes21%

Team total goals

OverParedesFamalicão

0.587%74%

1.557%37%

2.532%15%

Clean sheet

Paredes26%Famalicão13%

Win to nil

Paredes7%Famalicão25%

Odd or even goals

Odd50%Even50%

Winning margin

Draw18%

WinsParedesFamalicão

by 16%35%

by 26%21%

by 3+5%9%

Total goal bands

0-1 goals16%2-3 goals42%4-5 goals29%6+ goals13%

Match preview · Taça de Portugal

Paredes vs Famalicão: preview and prediction

18 Oct 2026 · 18:30Municipal das Laranjeiras

Paredes welcome Famalicão to Municipal das Laranjeiras in Paredes on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 18:30. Last time out Paredes drew 3-3 at Vianense, and Famalicão lost 4-1 at home to Alverca.

The forecast

17%Paredes18%Draw65%Famalicão

Expected goals1.9-1.2Over 2.5 goals63%Both teams score64%

FormParedesHome and awayParedesGoalsParedes

Paredes: form and key numbers

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 2.2 goals for and 1.2 against. Last time out they drew 3-3 with Vianense; before that came a 5-1 win at home to Maria da Fonte and a 2-1 win at home to Fafe.

Paredes are unbeaten in four. They have scored in each of their last six. Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won two of three recently (8 scored, 4 conceded).

ParedesLast 6 · 4W 1D 1L

10 OctAVianense3-3D
20 SeptHMaria da Fonte5-1W
13 SeptHFafe2-1W
5 SeptAVarzim1-0W
23 AugHLeça1-2L
15 AugAPacos Ferreira1-0W

2.2scored a game1.2conceded a game2.2points a game

At home · last 3WWL

Paredes: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Famalicão: form and key numbers

Their last six in all competitions read one win, three draws and two defeats, at 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 4-1 to Alverca at home; before that came a 4-0 win away at Nacional and a 1-1 draw at home to Sp Lisbon.

They have scored in each of their last four. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won one of three recently (6 scored, 3 conceded).

FamalicãoLast 6 · 1W 3D 2L

12 OctHAlverca1-4L
19 SeptANacional4-0W
13 SeptHSp Lisbon1-1D
5 SeptAEstrela2-2D
30 AugHGil Vicente0-0D
23 AugASanta Clara0-1L

1.3scored a game1.3conceded a game1.0points a game

Away · last 3WDL

Famalicão: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Paredes vs Famalicão: match analysis

Home and away form points to Paredes: Paredes have won two of their last three at home, Famalicão one of their last three on the road. Paredes also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Famalicão clear favourites at 65%, with Paredes on 17% and the draw at 18%. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Famalicão still come out ahead.

Goals, recent and expected

2.2Scored a game1.3
1.2Conceded a game1.3
1.9Expected here (xG)1.2

Over 1.584%Over 2.563%Over 3.542%Both score64%

On goals, it expects around 3.1 in the game: 1.9 for Paredes and 1.2 for Famalicão. Over 2.5 goals is 63% and both teams scoring 64%.

Punt-X prediction

Famalicão to win65%

Their edge comes from their longer record rather than recent form.

Every market at a glance

ResultFamalicão win65%
Double chanceFamalicão or draw83%
GoalsOver 2.563%
Both teams to scoreYes64%
Clean sheetParedes26%
CornersParedes 5.1 · Famalicão 4.79.8 expected
Cards4.5 yellows expectedRed 15%

Frequently asked questions

Paredes vs Famalicão

Paredes vs Famalicão prediction