Niroye Zamini vs Mes Kerman prediction

Niroye Zamini have won one, drawn one and lost six of their eight Azadegan League games so far, scoring 4 and letting in 12. That has them 15th on 4 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, one draw and four defeats, at 0.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Saipa away; before that came a 1-0 defeat at home to Fard Alborz and a 1-0 win away at Novin Ahvaz.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank four times. At home they've won none of three recently (0 scored, 3 conceded).

So far in the Azadegan League, Mes Kerman have won none, drawn four and lost four of eight, with 4 goals scored and 8 conceded, good for 14th place and 4 points.

Over the last six matches it has been no wins, five draws and one defeat, averaging 0.7 goals for and 0.8 against. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Mes Soongoun; before that came a 1-0 defeat at home to Saipa and a 1-1 draw away at Fard Alborz.

Mes Kerman haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last five. They failed to score in two of those games. On the road they've won none of three recently (3 scored, 3 conceded).

Home and away form points to Mes Kerman: Niroye Zamini have won none of their last three at home, Mes Kerman none of their last three on the road. The two sides are level on points. Mes Kerman also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Niroye Zamini favourites at 42%, with Mes Kerman on 30% and the draw at 28%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Niroye Zamini still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.5 in the game: 1.4 for Niroye Zamini and 1.1 for Mes Kerman. Over 2.5 goals is 46% and both teams scoring 51%. Their last meeting, on 19 Feb 2025, finished 0-0.