Holstein Kiel vs Hoffenheim prediction

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, two draws and two defeats, at 1.2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Dresden 3-0 at home; before that came a goalless draw at home to Hertha and a 1-0 defeat away at Braunschweig.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. At home they've won two of four recently (7 scored, 2 conceded).

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, no draws and three defeats, averaging 2.2 goals for and 1.7 against. Last time out they beat Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 at home; before that came a 3-0 win at home to Lyon and a 2-1 win away at Borussia Monchengladbach.

Hoffenheim are unbeaten in three. They have scored in each of their last six. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won one of two recently (3 scored, 4 conceded).

Home and away form points to Holstein Kiel: Holstein Kiel have won two of their last four at home, Hoffenheim one of their last two on the road.

We make Hoffenheim clear favourites at 58%, with Holstein Kiel on 23% and the draw at 18%. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Hoffenheim still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 3.4 in the game: 1.1 for Holstein Kiel and 2.3 for Hoffenheim. Over 2.5 goals is 66% and both teams scoring 61%. When they last met, on 18 Jan 2025, Hoffenheim won 3-1.