Anzio vs Gelbison prediction

So far in the Serie D - Girone G, Anzio have won four, drawn four and lost two of ten, with 9 goals scored and 6 conceded, good for 4th place and 16 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, three draws and one defeat, averaging 0.8 goals for and 0.7 against. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Afragolese; before that came a 1-1 draw away at Latte Dolce and a goalless draw at home to Unipomezia.

Anzio are unbeaten in five. Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. At home they've won one of three recently (2 scored, 1 conceded).

Gelbison have won three, drawn two and lost five of their ten Serie D - Girone G games so far, scoring 11 and letting in 17. That has them 13th on 11 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, two draws and three defeats, at 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Atletico Lodigiani; before that came a 1-0 defeat at home to Igea Virtus and a 3-0 defeat away at Sarrabus Ogliastra.

Gelbison haven't won in three. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in two of those games. On the road they've won none of three recently (3 scored, 8 conceded).

Home and away form points to Anzio: Anzio have won one of their last three at home, Gelbison none of their last three on the road. Five points separate the two sides in the table. Anzio also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Anzio clear favourites at 53%, with Gelbison on 22% and the draw at 24%.

On goals, it expects around 3.0 in the game: 1.9 for Anzio and 1.1 for Gelbison. Over 2.5 goals is 56% and both teams scoring 53%.