Ballinamallard United vs Rathfriland prediction

Ballinamallard United have won six, drawn three and lost five of their 14 Championship games so far, scoring 20 and letting in 19. That has them 5th on 21 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, three draws and one defeat, at 1.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Armagh City at home; before that came a 1-0 win away at Strabane Athletic and a 1-1 draw at home to Queen's University.

Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won none of four recently (4 scored, 5 conceded).

So far in the Championship, Rathfriland have won four, drawn one and lost eight of 13, with 14 goals scored and 25 conceded, good for 13th place and 13 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 1.5 goals for and 1.0 against. Last time out they drew 2-2 with Strabane Athletic; before that came a 1-0 win at home to Ards and a 1-0 win away at Dundela.

Rathfriland are unbeaten in five. They have scored in each of their last five. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won two of two recently (4 scored, 1 conceded).

Home and away form points to Rathfriland: Ballinamallard United have won none of their last four at home, Rathfriland two of their last two on the road. Eight points separate the two sides in the table.

We make Ballinamallard United favourites at 49%, with Rathfriland on 25% and the draw at 25%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 3.1 in the game: 1.9 for Ballinamallard United and 1.3 for Rathfriland. Over 2.5 goals is 58% and both teams scoring 56%.