Lincoln City vs Birmingham prediction

So far in the Championship, Lincoln City have won four, drawn three and lost six of 13, with 14 goals scored and 23 conceded, good for 16th place and 15 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 1.3 goals for and 2.3 against. Last time out they beat Burnley 4-1 at home; before that came a 2-2 draw away at Millwall and a 6-0 defeat at home to West Ham United.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last five. They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won one of three recently (5 scored, 9 conceded). E. Wheatley (inactive), M. Melia (thigh injury) and T. Darikwa (knee injury) are all unavailable.

Birmingham have won six, drawn five and lost two of their 13 Championship games so far, scoring 23 and letting in 13. That has them 6th on 23 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, one draw and one defeat, at 2.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Cardiff away; before that came a 3-0 win at home to Queens Park Rangers and a 4-0 win at home to Preston.

Three clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won two of three recently (3 scored, 2 conceded). A. Priske (health problems), M. Leonard (achilles tendon injury) and Paik Seung-Ho (health problems) are all unavailable.

Home and away form points to Birmingham: Lincoln City have won one of their last three at home, Birmingham two of their last three on the road. Eight points separate the two sides in the table. Birmingham also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Birmingham favourites at 43%, with Lincoln City on 30% and the draw at 28%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 1.2 for Lincoln City and 1.5 for Birmingham. Over 2.5 goals is 52% and both teams scoring 54%. When they last met, on 8 Mar 2025, Birmingham won 1-0.