Paris Saint-Germain vs Troyes prediction

Paris Saint-Germain have won six, drawn two and lost one of their nine Ligue 1 games so far, scoring 21 and letting in 10. That has them 1st on 20 points.

Their last six in all competitions read six wins, no draws and no defeats, at 3.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Le Havre 5-1 away; before that came a 2-0 win at home to Lyon and a 4-2 win at home to Barcelona.

Paris Saint-Germain are unbeaten in six. They have scored in each of their last six. At home they've won three of three recently (9 scored, 3 conceded).

So far in the Ligue 1, Troyes have won two, drawn two and lost five of nine, with 7 goals scored and 16 conceded, good for 16th place and 8 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, two draws and three defeats, averaging 0.8 goals for and 1.5 against. Last time out they beat Le Mans 2-0 at home; before that came a goalless draw away at Toulouse and a 3-1 defeat at home to Lens.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. On the road they've won none of three recently (2 scored, 4 conceded).

Home and away form points to Paris Saint-Germain: Paris Saint-Germain have won three of their last three at home, Troyes none of their last three on the road. 12 points separate the two sides in the table. Paris Saint-Germain also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Paris Saint-Germain clear favourites at 84%, with Troyes on 5% and the draw at 11%.

On goals, it expects around 4.7 in the game: 4.1 for Paris Saint-Germain and 0.6 for Troyes. Over 2.5 goals is 86% and both teams scoring 48%. When they last met, on 7 May 2023, Paris Saint-Germain won 3-1.