South Melbourne vs Melbourne Victory prediction
South Melbourne
Saturday, 10 October 2026
1:1Half time 0 : 0Australia Cup
Melbourne Victory
Pre-match prediction
All predictions
Total goals
Both teams to score
GG2+
Team total goals
Clean sheet
Win to nil
Odd or even goals
Winning margin
Total goal bands
South Melbourne vs Melbourne Victory: preview and prediction
South Melbourne welcome Melbourne Victory to AAMI Park in Melbourne on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 08:35. It's the final of the Australia Cup. Last time out South Melbourne beat Lions 3-1 at home, and Melbourne Victory drew 1-1 at Viettel.
South Melbourne: form and key numbers
Over the last six matches it has been three wins, no draws and three defeats, averaging 1.5 goals for and 1.8 against. Last time out they beat Lions 3-1 at home; before that came a 2-1 defeat away at Oakleigh Cannons and a 2-1 win at home to Heidelberg United.
The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. At home they've won two of four recently (6 scored, 8 conceded).
- HLions3-1W
- AOakleigh Cannons1-2L
- HHeidelberg United2-1W
- HHeidelberg United1-2L
- AOakleigh Cannons2-1W
- HAvondale0-4L
South Melbourne: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.
Melbourne Victory: form and key numbers
Their last three in all competitions read two wins, one draw and no defeats, at 2.3 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Viettel; before that came a 2-0 win away at Sydney and a 4-0 win away at Lions.
Melbourne Victory are unbeaten in three. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won two of three recently (7 scored, 1 conceded).
- AViettel1-1D
- ASydney2-0W
- ALions4-0W
Melbourne Victory: last 3 results in all competitions, newest first.
South Melbourne vs Melbourne Victory: match analysis
Home and away form points to Melbourne Victory: South Melbourne have won two of their last four at home, Melbourne Victory two of their last three on the road. Melbourne Victory also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.
We make South Melbourne favourites at 47%, with Melbourne Victory on 26% and the draw at 28%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, South Melbourne still come out ahead.
- 1.52.3
- 1.80.3
- 1.71.1
On goals, it expects around 2.7 in the game: 1.7 for South Melbourne and 1.1 for Melbourne Victory. Over 2.5 goals is 52% and both teams scoring 53%.
Both teams scored in five of South Melbourne's last six and one of Melbourne Victory's last three.
Every market at a glance
- ResultSouth Melbourne win47%
- Double chanceSouth Melbourne or draw74%
- GoalsOver 2.552%
- Both teams to scoreYes53%
- Clean sheetSouth Melbourne34%
- CornersSouth Melbourne 6.0 · Melbourne Victory 4.110.2 expected
- Cards4.3 yellows expectedRed 15%
Frequently asked questions
South Melbourne vs Melbourne Victory