Napoli vs Bologna prediction

Napoli have won four, drawn two and lost four of their ten Serie A games so far, scoring 17 and letting in 13. That has them 8th on 14 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, no draws and three defeats, at 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Arsenal at home; before that came a 3-2 defeat away at Inter Milan and a 2-1 defeat at home to Como.

Napoli haven't won in three. Three clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won one of three recently (2 scored, 3 conceded).

So far in the Serie A, Bologna have won four, drawn two and lost four of ten, with 14 goals scored and 13 conceded, good for 9th place and 14 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, two draws and two defeats, averaging 1.5 goals for and 1.5 against. Last time out they drew 2-2 with Sassuolo; before that came a 1-0 defeat away at Atalanta and a 1-0 defeat at home to Lazio.

Bologna haven't won in four. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. They failed to score in two of those games. On the road they've won two of three recently (4 scored, 3 conceded).

Home and away form points to Bologna: Napoli have won one of their last three at home, Bologna two of their last three on the road. The two sides are level on points. Napoli also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Napoli clear favourites at 53%, with Bologna on 20% and the draw at 27%.

On goals, it expects around 2.4 in the game: 1.6 for Napoli and 0.9 for Bologna. Over 2.5 goals is 44% and both teams scoring 46%. When they last met, on 11 May 2026, Bologna won 3-2.