Olympique Lyon vs Nice prediction

Olympique Lyon have won five, drawn two and lost two of their nine Ligue 1 games so far, scoring 15 and letting in 7. That has them 3rd on 17 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, one draw and one defeat, at 2.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Crystal Palace 3-2 at home; before that came a 2-1 defeat away at Lens and a 4-0 win at home to Rennes.

They have scored in each of their last four. Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won three of three recently (10 scored, 3 conceded). L. Openda (leg injury), M. Ouedraogo (knee injury) and N. Tagliafico (knee injury) are all unavailable.

So far in the Ligue 1, Nice have won four, drawn two and lost three of nine, with 13 goals scored and 12 conceded, good for 8th place and 14 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, two draws and two defeats, averaging 0.8 goals for and 1.2 against. Last time out they beat Strasbourg 2-1 at home; before that came a 2-1 win at home to Lille and a 1-0 defeat away at Auxerre.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last five. They failed to score in three of those games. On the road they've won none of two recently (0 scored, 4 conceded). A. Abdi (muscle injury), A. Mendy (knee injury) and L. Abergel (knee injury), plus two others, are all unavailable.

Home and away form points to Olympique Lyon: Olympique Lyon have won three of their last three at home, Nice none of their last two on the road. Three points separate the two sides in the table. Olympique Lyon also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Olympique Lyon clear favourites at 57%, with Nice on 22% and the draw at 22%.

On goals, it expects around 3.1 in the game: 2.1 for Olympique Lyon and 1.0 for Nice. Over 2.5 goals is 59% and both teams scoring 54%. When they last met, on 15 Feb 2026, Lyon won 2-0.