Atleti vs Deportivo prediction, 24 October 2026

Atleti

Saturday, 24 October 2026

10Half time 0 : 0La Liga

Deportivo

Alvarez 48′

Match result

Pre-match prediction

Locked at kickoff

80.4%Atleti

13.4%Draw

6.2%Deportivo

Double chance

Atleti or draw94%

Either team wins87%

Deportivo or draw20%

3.1Atleti3.8expected goals0.7Deportivo

Every market

All predictions

Total goals

LineOverUnder

0.597%3%

1.587%13%

2.570%30%

3.551%49%

4.534%66%

Both teams to score

Yes48%No52%

GG2+

No87%Yes13%

Team total goals

OverAtletiDeportivo

0.594%52%

1.577%17%

2.556%4%

Clean sheet

Atleti48%Deportivo6%

Win to nil

Atleti46%Deportivo3%

Odd or even goals

Odd50%Even50%

Winning margin

Draw13%

WinsAtletiDeportivo

by 118%5%

by 219%1%

by 3+44%0%

Total goal bands

0-1 goals13%2-3 goals35%4-5 goals30%6+ goals21%

Match preview · La Liga

Atleti vs Deportivo: preview and prediction

24 Oct 2026 · 20:00Riyadh Air MetropolitanoJose Maria Sanchez Martinez

Atleti welcome Deportivo to Riyadh Air Metropolitano in Madrid on Saturday 24 October, with kick-off at 20:00. It's matchday 10 in the La Liga. Atleti go into it 2nd in the table after 11 games, with Deportivo 8th, 6 places lower. Last time out Atleti drew 1-1 at Stuttgart, and Deportivo drew 1-1 at home with Levante. Atleti haven't lost any of their last three at home.

The forecast

80%Atleti13%Draw6%Deportivo

Expected goals3.1-0.7Over 2.5 goals70%Both teams score48%

FormAtletiThe tableAtletiGoalsAtletiHead to headAtletiTeam newsAtleti

Atleti: form and key numbers

Atleti have won nine, drawn one and lost one of their 11 La Liga games so far, scoring 22 and letting in 8. That has them 2nd on 28 points.

Their last six in all competitions read five wins, one draw and no defeats, at 1.7 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Stuttgart; before that came a 1-0 win away at Espanyol and a 2-0 win at home to Manchester United.

Atleti are unbeaten in six. They have scored in each of their last six. Three clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won three of three recently (6 scored, 1 conceded). C. Romero (muscle injury), J. Cardoso (thigh injury) and Koke (muscle injury) are all unavailable.

AtletiLast 6 · 5W 1D 0L

20 OctAStuttgart1-1D
17 OctAEspanyol1-0W
13 OctHManchester United2-0W
10 OctAAlaves2-1W
27 SeptHReal Madrid2-0W
20 SeptHReal Madrid2-1W

1.7scored a game0.5conceded a game2.7points a game

At home · last 3WWW

Atleti: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Deportivo: form and key numbers

So far in the La Liga, Deportivo have won three, drawn five and lost three of 11, with 15 goals scored and 14 conceded, good for 8th place and 14 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, two draws and three defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.5 against. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Levante; before that came a 3-2 defeat away at Real Sociedad and a 3-1 defeat at home to Porto.

Deportivo haven't won in three. They have scored in each of their last five. B. Ede (hamstring injury), M. Casado (collarbone injury) and N. Carrillo (muscle injury), plus two others, are all unavailable.

DeportivoLast 6 · 1W 2D 3L

16 OctHLevante1-1D
11 OctAReal Sociedad2-3L
2 OctHPorto1-3L
26 SeptHReal Union2-0W
20 SeptHReal Betis1-1D
16 SeptHSevilla0-1L

1.2scored a game1.5conceded a game0.8points a game

Deportivo: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Atleti vs Deportivo: match analysis

14 points separate the two sides in the table. Atleti also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

The table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Barça	11	10	0	1	+34	30
2	Atleti	11	9	1	1	+14	28
3	Real Madrid	11	9	0	2	+18	27
···
7	Athletic	10	4	3	3	+4	15
8	Deportivo	11	3	5	3	+1	14
9	Villarreal	11	3	3	5	0	12

We make Atleti clear favourites at 80%, with Deportivo on 6% and the draw at 13%.

Goals, recent and expected

1.7Scored a game1.2
0.5Conceded a game1.5
3.1Expected here (xG)0.7

Over 1.587%Over 2.570%Over 3.551%Both score48%

On goals, it expects around 3.8 in the game: 3.1 for Atleti and 0.7 for Deportivo. Over 2.5 goals is 70% and both teams scoring 48%. When they last met, on 1 Apr 2018, Atletico Madrid won 1-0.

Last meetings