Hull City vs Aston Villa prediction

Hull City have won two, drawn five and lost two of their nine Premier League games so far, scoring 11 and letting in 10. That has them 11th on 11 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, two draws and three defeats, at 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Gateshead; before that came a 3-1 defeat at home to Fylde and a 1-0 win away at Coventry.

They have scored in each of their last six. At home they've won none of two recently (2 scored, 6 conceded).

So far in the Premier League, Aston Villa have won three, drawn three and lost three of nine, with 10 goals scored and 13 conceded, good for 10th place and 12 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 1.5 goals for and 2.0 against. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Arsenal at home; before that came a 4-0 defeat away at Brighton & Hove Albion and a 2-1 win away at Manchester City.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in two of those games. On the road they've won one of three recently (4 scored, 7 conceded).

Home and away form points to Aston Villa: Hull City have won none of their last two at home, Aston Villa one of their last three on the road. One point separates the two sides in the table.

We make Aston Villa favourites at 50%, with Hull City on 27% and the draw at 23%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 3.1 in the game: 1.1 for Hull City and 2.0 for Aston Villa. Over 2.5 goals is 60% and both teams scoring 58%. Their last meeting, on 19 Jan 2019, finished 2-2.