Botafogo vs Atletico-MG prediction

Botafogo have won ten, drawn nine and lost 14 of their 33 Serie A games so far, scoring 45 and letting in 53. That has them 12th on 39 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, one draw and four defeats, at 0.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Remo away; before that came a 3-0 defeat away at Internacional and a 1-0 win at home to Chapecoense-SC.

They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won one of two recently (2 scored, 2 conceded).

So far in the Serie A, Atletico-MG have won 14, drawn eight and lost 11 of 33, with 44 goals scored and 39 conceded, good for 7th place and 50 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, no draws and four defeats, averaging 1.0 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they lost 2-0 to Gremio away; before that came a 1-0 defeat at home to Cruzeiro and a 3-2 defeat away at Flamengo RJ.

Atletico-MG haven't won in four. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. On the road they've won none of three recently (2 scored, 7 conceded).

Home and away form points to Botafogo: Botafogo have won one of their last two at home, Atletico-MG none of their last three on the road. 11 points separate the two sides in the table. Atletico-MG also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Botafogo favourites at 48%, with Atletico-MG on 25% and the draw at 27%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.6 in the game: 1.5 for Botafogo and 1.2 for Atletico-MG. Over 2.5 goals is 48% and both teams scoring 52%. Their last meeting, on 10 May 2026, finished 1-1.