Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin prediction

Tigre have won four, drawn four and lost seven of their 15 Primera Division games so far, scoring 15 and letting in 16. That has them 11th on 16 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, one draw and four defeats, at 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Huracan 2-0 away; before that came a 1-0 defeat at home to Atl. Tucuman and a 2-2 draw away at Ind. Rivadavia.

At home they've won none of two recently (1 scored, 3 conceded).

So far in the Primera Division, Sarmiento Junin have won six, drawn three and lost six of 15, with 23 goals scored and 23 conceded, good for 8th place and 21 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, two draws and three defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.7 against. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Rosario Central at home; before that came a 2-0 defeat away at Gimnasia L.P. and a 1-1 draw at home to Barracas Central.

Sarmiento Junin haven't won in four. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. On the road they've won one of three recently (4 scored, 6 conceded).

Home and away form points to Sarmiento Junin: Tigre have won none of their last two at home, Sarmiento Junin one of their last three on the road. Five points separate the two sides in the table.

We make Tigre favourites at 46%, with Sarmiento Junin on 22% and the draw at 32%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Tigre still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.3 in the game: 1.3 for Tigre and 1.0 for Sarmiento Junin. Over 2.5 goals is 41% and both teams scoring 48%. When they last met, on 25 Apr 2026, Sarmiento Junin won 1-0.