Arsenal vs Lille prediction

Arsenal have won two, drawn one and lost none of their three UEFA Champions League games so far, scoring 6 and letting in 2. That has them 7th on 7 points.

Their last six in all competitions read five wins, no draws and one defeat, at 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Leeds United 2-1 at home; before that came a 3-0 defeat away at Brighton & Hove Albion and a 4-2 win away at Ipswich.

Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won two of two recently (4 scored, 2 conceded). C. Mosquera, C. Tzolis and M. Zubimendi, plus two others, are all unavailable.

So far in the UEFA Champions League, Lille have won none, drawn none and lost three of three, with 4 goals scored and 10 conceded, good for 35th place and 0 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, no draws and two defeats, averaging 1.5 goals for and 1.0 against. Last time out they beat Le Havre 1-0 at home; before that came a 2-1 win at home to Waregem and a 2-1 defeat away at Nice.

They have scored in each of their last six. Three clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won one of two recently (2 scored, 2 conceded). E. Mbappe, H. Igamane and T. Santos are all unavailable.

Home and away form points to Arsenal: Arsenal have won two of their last two at home, Lille one of their last two on the road. Seven points separate the two sides in the table.

We make Arsenal clear favourites at 78%, with Lille on 7% and the draw at 15%.

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 2.1 for Arsenal and 0.7 for Lille. Over 2.5 goals is 53% and both teams scoring 43%.