Toronto vs DC United prediction, 29 October 2026

Toronto

Wednesday, 28 October 2026

21Major League Soccer

DC United

Osorio 64′
Sargent 86′

Dozzell 29′

Match result

Pre-match prediction

Locked at kickoff

51.5%Toronto

20.9%Draw

27.5%DC United

Double chance

Toronto or draw72%

Either team wins79%

DC United or draw48%

2.0Toronto3.3expected goals1.3DC United

Every market

All predictions

Total goals

LineOverUnder

0.595%5%

1.581%19%

2.561%39%

3.541%59%

4.525%75%

Both teams to score

Yes57%No43%

GG2+

No80%Yes20%

Team total goals

OverTorontoDC United

0.583%69%

1.556%36%

2.532%16%

Clean sheet

Toronto31%DC United17%

Win to nil

Toronto25%DC United12%

Odd or even goals

Odd50%Even50%

Winning margin

Draw21%

WinsTorontoDC United

by 120%16%

by 215%8%

by 3+16%4%

Total goal bands

0-1 goals19%2-3 goals40%4-5 goals27%6+ goals14%

Match preview · Major League Soccer

Toronto vs DC United: preview and prediction

28 Oct 2026 · 23:30BMO FieldAlexis Da Silva

Toronto welcome DC United to BMO Field in Toronto on Wednesday 28 October, with kick-off at 23:30. It's matchday 32 in the Major League Soccer. Toronto go into it 12th in the table after 33 games, with DC United 14th. Last time out Toronto were beaten 4-2 at Columbus Crew, and DC United lost 2-0 at home to FC Cincinnati. DC United are still waiting for a win on the road, with none in their last three away games.

The forecast

52%Toronto21%Draw28%DC United

Expected goals2.0-1.3Over 2.5 goals61%Both teams score57%

FormTorontoHome and awayTorontoThe tableTorontoGoalsTorontoHead to headEvenTeam newsEven

Toronto: form and key numbers

Toronto have won nine, drawn 12 and lost 12 of their 33 Major League Soccer games so far, scoring 51 and letting in 63. That has them 12th on 39 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, one draw and three defeats, at 1.7 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 4-2 to Columbus Crew away; before that came a 2-0 win away at New York Red Bulls and a 3-3 draw at home to Orlando City.

They have scored in each of their last four. At home they've won one of two recently (5 scored, 4 conceded). K. Franklin (shoulder injury), N. Gomis (calf injury) and N. Palacio (lower-body injury), plus one other, are all unavailable.

TorontoLast 6 · 2W 1D 3L

24 OctAColumbus Crew2-4L
17 OctANew York Red Bulls2-0W
14 OctHOrlando City3-3D
10 OctHCF Montreal2-1W
27 SeptANashville SC0-2L
20 SeptASt. Louis City1-3L

1.7scored a game2.2conceded a game1.2points a game

At home · last 2DW

Toronto: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

DC United: form and key numbers

So far in the Major League Soccer, DC United have won seven, drawn 12 and lost 14 of 33, with 39 goals scored and 60 conceded, good for 14th place and 33 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, no draws and five defeats, averaging 0.7 goals for and 2.3 against. Last time out they lost 2-0 to FC Cincinnati at home; before that came a 2-1 defeat away at FC Cincinnati and a 4-1 defeat away at Orlando City.

DC United haven't won in three. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in three of those games. On the road they've won none of three recently (2 scored, 10 conceded). G. Segal (ankle injury), H. Kijima (leg injury) and J. Hopkins (ankle injury), plus one other, are all unavailable.

DC UnitedLast 6 · 1W 0D 5L

24 OctHFC Cincinnati0-2L
21 OctAFC Cincinnati1-2L
17 OctAOrlando City1-4L
14 OctHNew York Red Bulls2-1W
10 OctAInter Miami0-4L
30 SeptHPaderborn0-1L

0.7scored a game2.3conceded a game0.5points a game

Away · last 3LLL

DC United: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Toronto vs DC United: match analysis

Home and away form points to Toronto: Toronto have won one of their last two at home, DC United none of their last three on the road. Six points separate the two sides in the table. Toronto also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

The table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
11	New York City	33	9	12	12	+3	39
12	Toronto	33	9	12	12	-12	39
13	Atlanta United	33	9	6	18	-14	33
14	DC United	33	7	12	14	-21	33
15	CF Montreal	33	6	8	19	-30	26

We make Toronto favourites at 52%, with DC United on 28% and the draw at 21%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

Goals, recent and expected

1.7Scored a game0.7
2.2Conceded a game2.3
2.0Expected here (xG)1.3

Over 1.581%Over 2.561%Over 3.541%Both score57%

On goals, it expects around 3.3 in the game: 2.0 for Toronto and 1.3 for DC United. Over 2.5 goals is 61% and both teams scoring 57%. When they last met, on 26 Jul 2026, DC United won 2-1.

Last meetings