Casa de Portugal vs Esperança d'Andorra prediction

So far in the 1a Divisió, Casa de Portugal have won two, drawn two and lost three of seven, with 10 goals scored and 13 conceded, good for 7th place and 8 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 1.5 goals for and 2.0 against. Last time out they beat Carroi 3-0 away; before that came a 1-1 draw away at Sporting Escaldes and a 3-0 win at home to Penya Encarnada.

Casa de Portugal are unbeaten in three. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won one of two recently (3 scored, 3 conceded).

Esperança d'Andorra have won three, drawn two and lost two of their seven 1a Divisió games so far, scoring 15 and letting in 8. That has them 5th on 11 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, one draw and two defeats, at 2.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Sporting Escaldes 5-1 at home; before that came a 1-0 win away at Penya Encarnada and a 2-1 defeat at home to FC Santa Coloma.

They have scored in each of their last six. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won one of three recently (3 scored, 3 conceded).

There isn't much between Casa de Portugal's home form and Esperança d'Andorra's away form. Three points separate the two sides in the table. Esperança d'Andorra also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Casa de Portugal favourites at 50%, with Esperança d'Andorra on 26% and the draw at 24%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Casa de Portugal still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 3.0 in the game: 1.8 for Casa de Portugal and 1.3 for Esperança d'Andorra. Over 2.5 goals is 57% and both teams scoring 58%.