Mainz vs Bremen prediction, 24 October 2026

Mainz

Saturday, 24 October 2026

23Half time 1 : 2Bundesliga

Bremen

Caci 33′
Lee Jae-Sung 63′

Fullkrug (P) 7′, 25′
Reis 61′

Match result

Pre-match prediction

Locked at kickoff

61.7%Mainz

17.6%Draw

20.7%Bremen

Double chance

Mainz or draw79%

Either team wins82%

Bremen or draw38%

2.2Mainz3.5expected goals1.3Bremen

Every market

All predictions

Total goals

LineOverUnder

0.596%4%

1.584%16%

2.566%34%

3.546%54%

4.529%71%

Both teams to score

Yes61%No39%

GG2+

No78%Yes22%

Team total goals

OverMainzBremen

0.587%70%

1.562%36%

2.538%15%

Clean sheet

Mainz30%Bremen13%

Win to nil

Mainz27%Bremen8%

Odd or even goals

Odd50%Even50%

Winning margin

Draw18%

WinsMainzBremen

by 123%12%

by 219%6%

by 3+20%3%

Total goal bands

0-1 goals16%2-3 goals38%4-5 goals29%6+ goals17%

Match preview · Bundesliga

Mainz vs Bremen: preview and prediction

24 Oct 2026 · 14:30MEWA ArenaFlorian Badstubner

Mainz welcome Bremen to MEWA Arena in Mainz on Saturday 24 October, with kick-off at 14:30. It's matchday 7 in the Bundesliga. Mainz go into it 9th in the table after eight games, with Bremen 5th. Last time out Mainz won 1-0 away at Schalke 04, and Bremen drew 2-2 at home with Paderborn. Bremen are still waiting for a win on the road, with none in their last three away games.

The forecast

62%Mainz18%Draw21%Bremen

Expected goals2.2-1.3Over 2.5 goals66%Both teams score61%

FormMainzHome and awayBremenThe tableBremenGoalsMainzHead to headBremenTeam newsMainz

Mainz: form and key numbers

So far in the Bundesliga, Mainz have won three, drawn one and lost four of eight, with 17 goals scored and 17 conceded, good for 9th place and 10 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, no draws and two defeats, averaging 2.8 goals for and 1.7 against. Last time out they beat Schalke 04 1-0 away; before that came a 4-3 defeat at home to Bayer Leverkusen and a 3-0 win away at Waldhof Mannheim.

They have scored in each of their last six. Three clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won none of two recently (4 scored, 7 conceded). D. Kohr (foot injury), O. Ruoppi (knee injury) and R. Zentner (hand injury), plus one other, are all unavailable.

MainzLast 6 · 4W 0D 2L

17 OctASchalke 041-0W
10 OctHBayer Leverkusen3-4L
3 OctAWaldhof Mannheim3-0W
19 SeptABorussia Monchengladbach4-3W
12 SeptHEintracht Frankfurt1-3L
6 SeptAHamburger SV5-0W

2.8scored a game1.7conceded a game2.0points a game

At home · last 2LL

Mainz: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Bremen: form and key numbers

Bremen have won four, drawn three and lost one of their eight Bundesliga games so far, scoring 17 and letting in 14. That has them 5th on 15 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, three draws and one defeat, at 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 2-2 with Paderborn; before that came a 2-2 draw away at Borussia Dortmund and a 3-2 win at home to Augsburg.

Bremen are unbeaten in five. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. On the road they've won none of three recently (4 scored, 7 conceded). F. Agu (calf injury), J. Njinmah (thigh injury) and J. Stage (muscle injury), plus five others, are all unavailable.

BremenLast 6 · 2W 3D 1L

17 OctHPaderborn2-2D
9 OctABorussia Dortmund2-2D
19 SeptHAugsburg3-2W
12 SeptA1. FC Köln1-1D
5 SeptHRB Leipzig3-1W
30 AugAFreiburg1-4L

2.0scored a game2.0conceded a game1.5points a game

Away · last 3DDL

Bremen: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Mainz vs Bremen: match analysis

Home and away form points to Bremen: Mainz have won none of their last two at home, Bremen none of their last three on the road. Five points separate the two sides in the table. Mainz also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

The table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
4	RB Leipzig	8	5	0	3	+11	15
5	Bremen	8	4	3	1	+3	15
6	Leverkusen	8	4	1	3	+2	13
···
8	Frankfurt	8	3	2	3	-5	11
9	Mainz	8	3	1	4	0	10
10	Augsburg	8	2	3	3	+3	9

We make Mainz clear favourites at 62%, with Bremen on 21% and the draw at 18%.

Goals, recent and expected

2.8Scored a game2.0
1.7Conceded a game2.0
2.2Expected here (xG)1.3

Over 1.584%Over 2.566%Over 3.546%Both score61%

On goals, it expects around 3.5 in the game: 2.2 for Mainz and 1.3 for Bremen. Over 2.5 goals is 66% and both teams scoring 61%. When they last met, on 15 Mar 2026, 1. FSV Mainz 05 won 2-0.

Last meetings