Genoa vs AC Milan prediction

So far in the Serie A, Genoa have won four, drawn one and lost five of ten, with 10 goals scored and 14 conceded, good for 11th place and 13 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, no draws and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.0 against. Last time out they beat Lecce 2-1 away; before that came a 2-0 win at home to Juventus and a 1-0 win at home to Venezia.

Genoa are unbeaten in three. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won three of three recently (5 scored, 1 conceded).

AC Milan have won six, drawn three and lost one of their ten Serie A games so far, scoring 21 and letting in 12. That has them 5th on 21 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, no draws and two defeats, at 2.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Inter Milan 3-1 at home; before that came a 4-2 defeat at home to Bologna and a 2-0 win away at Udinese.

Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won two of three recently (6 scored, 3 conceded).

Home and away form points to Genoa: Genoa have won three of their last three at home, AC Milan two of their last three on the road. Eight points separate the two sides in the table. AC Milan also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make AC Milan clear favourites at 53%, with Genoa on 22% and the draw at 25%.

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 1.0 for Genoa and 1.8 for AC Milan. Over 2.5 goals is 53% and both teams scoring 51%. When they last met, on 17 May 2026, AC Milan won 2-1.