Torreense vs União de Leiria prediction

So far in the Segunda Liga, Torreense have won two, drawn four and lost three of nine, with 8 goals scored and 10 conceded, good for 13th place and 10 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 1.0 goals for and 1.5 against. Last time out they beat Ararat-Armenia 3-2 at home; before that came a goalless draw away at Portimonense and a 1-0 win at home to Amarante.

Torreense are unbeaten in three. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won two of three recently (5 scored, 4 conceded).

União de Leiria have won four, drawn two and lost three of their nine Segunda Liga games so far, scoring 13 and letting in 11. That has them 9th on 14 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, two draws and one defeat, at 1.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Last time out they beat AVS 2-1 at home; before that came a 1-1 draw away at FC Porto B and a 2-1 win at home to Bragança.

União de Leiria are unbeaten in three. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. On the road they've won one of three recently (5 scored, 3 conceded).

There isn't much between Torreense's home form and União de Leiria's away form. Four points separate the two sides in the table. União de Leiria also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Torreense favourites at 44%, with União de Leiria on 28% and the draw at 28%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Torreense still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.5 in the game: 1.3 for Torreense and 1.1 for União de Leiria. Over 2.5 goals is 45% and both teams scoring 50%. When they last met, on 8 Feb 2026, Torreense won 3-1.