BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums prediction

So far in the Virsliga, BFC Daugavpils have won 14, drawn nine and lost 12 of 35, with 42 goals scored and 37 conceded, good for 4th place and 51 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, two draws and one defeat, averaging 1.2 goals for and 0.8 against. Last time out they beat FS Jelgava 1-0 away; before that came a 2-1 win at home to Auda and a 2-1 win away at Ogre United.

BFC Daugavpils are unbeaten in four. Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won one of two recently (3 scored, 3 conceded).

Tukums have won five, drawn ten and lost 20 of their 35 Virsliga games so far, scoring 44 and letting in 67. That has them 9th on 25 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, two draws and three defeats, at 0.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by FK Liepaja; before that came a 2-0 defeat away at Rīgas FS and a 2-0 defeat at home to Riga.

Tukums haven't won in five. They failed to score in four of those games. On the road they've won none of three recently (0 scored, 3 conceded).

Home and away form points to BFC Daugavpils: BFC Daugavpils have won one of their last two at home, Tukums none of their last three on the road. 26 points separate the two sides in the table. BFC Daugavpils also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make BFC Daugavpils clear favourites at 67%, with Tukums on 13% and the draw at 20%.

On goals, it expects around 3.2 in the game: 2.2 for BFC Daugavpils and 1.0 for Tukums. Over 2.5 goals is 60% and both teams scoring 52%. When they last met, on 8 Aug 2026, BFC Daugavpils won 2-0.