Hamburger SV vs Mainz prediction
Hamburger SV
Sunday, 6 September 2026
0:5Half time 0 : 2BundesligaMainz
Pre-match prediction
Most likely scorelines
Other likely scores
All predictions
Total goals
Both teams to score
Team total goals
Clean sheet
Win to nil
Odd or even goals
Winning margin
Total goal bands
Hamburger SV vs Mainz: preview and prediction
Hamburger SV welcome Mainz to Volksparkstadion in Hamburg on Sunday 6 September, with kick-off at 14:30. Hamburger SV go into it 15th in the table after eight games, with Mainz 9th, 6 places higher. Last time out Hamburger SV were beaten 2-0 at Borussia Dortmund, and Mainz were held to a goalless draw at home by Paderborn.
Hamburger SV: form and key numbers
Hamburger SV have won three, drawn none and lost five of their eight Bundesliga games so far, scoring 7 and letting in 19. That has them 15th on 9 points.
Their last six in all competitions read two wins, one draw and three defeats, at 1.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 2-0 to Borussia Dortmund away; before that came a 1-1 draw away at Bayer Leverkusen and a 3-2 win at home to Freiburg.
The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. At home they've won one of two recently (4 scored, 4 conceded).
- ABorussia Dortmund0-2L
- ABayer Leverkusen1-1D
- HFreiburg3-2W
- AEintracht Frankfurt2-1W
- HHoffenheim1-2L
- AWerder Bremen1-3L
Hamburger SV: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.
Mainz: form and key numbers
So far in the Bundesliga, Mainz have won three, drawn one and lost four of eight, with 17 goals scored and 17 conceded, good for 9th place and 10 points.
Over the last six matches it has been two wins, two draws and two defeats, averaging 1.5 goals for and 1.5 against. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Paderborn; before that came a 2-0 win away at 1. FC Heidenheim and a 3-1 defeat at home to Union Berlin.
Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won two of three recently (5 scored, 2 conceded).
- HPaderborn0-0D
- A1. FC Heidenheim2-0W
- HUnion Berlin1-3L
- ASt Pauli2-1W
- HBayern Munich3-4L
- ABorussia Monchengladbach1-1D
Mainz: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.
Hamburger SV vs Mainz: match analysis
Home and away form points to Mainz: Hamburger SV have won one of their last two at home, Mainz two of their last three on the road. One point separates the two sides in the table. Mainz also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Frankfurt | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 11 |
| 9 | Mainz | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| ··· | |||||||
| 14 | SC Paderborn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | Hamburger SV | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -12 | 9 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -12 | 7 |
We make Mainz favourites at 45%, with Hamburger SV on 26% and the draw at 28%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.
- 1.31.5
- 1.81.5
- 1.32.2
On goals, it expects around 3.4 in the game: 1.3 for Hamburger SV and 2.2 for Mainz. Over 2.5 goals is 65% and both teams scoring 63%. Their last meeting, on 20 Feb 2026, finished 1-1.
- 1. FSV Mainz 051-1Hamburger SV
- Hamburger SV4-01. FSV Mainz 05
- Hamburger SV0-01. FSV Mainz 05
- 1. FSV Mainz 053-2Hamburger SV
- Hamburger SV0-01. FSV Mainz 05
Their recent games have averaged 3.1 goals.
Every market at a glance
- ResultMainz win45%
- Double chanceMainz or draw74%
- GoalsOver 2.565%
- Both teams to scoreYes63%
- Clean sheetMainz28%
- Correct score1-110%
- CornersHamburger SV 4.3 · Mainz 5.710.0 expected
- Cards4.1 yellows expectedRed 18%
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