Chelmsford City vs Farnborough prediction

So far in the National League - South, Chelmsford City have won four, drawn nine and lost one of 14, with 21 goals scored and 14 conceded, good for 12th place and 21 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 2.0 goals for and 1.2 against. Last time out they lost 2-0 to Farnham Town at home; before that came a 3-1 win away at AFC Totton and a 1-0 win away at Dover.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won none of two recently (3 scored, 5 conceded).

Farnborough have won five, drawn two and lost eight of their 15 National League - South games so far, scoring 12 and letting in 31. That has them 16th on 17 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, no draws and four defeats, at 0.7 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 6-0 to Ebbsfleet United at home; before that came a 5-0 defeat at home to Horsham and a 2-1 win at home to Weston-super-Mare.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. They failed to score in four of those games. On the road they've won none of two recently (0 scored, 6 conceded).

Home and away form points to Chelmsford City: Chelmsford City have won none of their last two at home, Farnborough none of their last two on the road. Four points separate the two sides in the table. Chelmsford City also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Chelmsford City clear favourites at 64%, with Farnborough on 16% and the draw at 20%.

On goals, it expects around 3.4 in the game: 2.3 for Chelmsford City and 1.0 for Farnborough. Over 2.5 goals is 65% and both teams scoring 57%. When they last met, on 8 Feb 2025, Chelmsford City won 4-3.