Guadalajara II vs Villacañas prediction

So far in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8, Guadalajara II have won none, drawn two and lost seven of nine, with 7 goals scored and 22 conceded, good for 18th place and 2 points.

Over the last six matches it has been no wins, one draw and five defeats, averaging 0.8 goals for and 3.0 against. Last time out they lost 1-0 to La Solana away; before that came a 4-1 defeat at home to Noblejas and a 4-0 defeat away at Villarrubia.

Guadalajara II haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in three of those games. At home they've won none of three recently (3 scored, 11 conceded).

Villacañas have won five, drawn two and lost two of their nine Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 games so far, scoring 17 and letting in 8. That has them 3rd on 17 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, one draw and one defeat, at 2.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Last time out they beat CD Villa 4-1 at home; before that came a 3-0 win away at Torrijos and a 4-3 win at home to Illescas.

Villacañas are unbeaten in four. Three clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won two of three recently (5 scored, 0 conceded).

Home and away form points to Villacañas: Guadalajara II have won none of their last three at home, Villacañas two of their last three on the road. 15 points separate the two sides in the table. Villacañas also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Villacañas favourites at 49%, with Guadalajara II on 25% and the draw at 26%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.5 in the game: 0.8 for Guadalajara II and 1.7 for Villacañas. Over 2.5 goals is 46% and both teams scoring 47%.